Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. best bet: Back Paul to win a lengthy bout

Check out this best bet for Paul vs. Chavez. Photo/Chris Pizzello)
Check out this best bet for Paul vs. Chavez. Photo/Chris Pizzello)
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Jake Paul meets his next opponent, Julio Cesar Chavez Jr., on Saturday night in the main event at Honda Center.

The pre-fight narrative: Paul is facing another professional boxer, but as usual, there are questions about Chavez's ability to be competitive, given his age and recent results.

Check out my Paul vs. Chavez best bet for the June 28 fight in Anaheim, California.

Paul vs. Chavez best bet

Check out the latest odds for the Jake Paul fight.

Best bet: Paul by decision (-108)

This is a step in the right direction for Paul, facing a 39-year-old Chavez who has 62 career pro bouts.

The unfortunate part is that Chavez is far removed from his prime and not the opponent anyone wanted Paul to see at this stage of his boxing career.

  • After going undefeated through the first 48 fights of his career, Chavez has lost six of his last 14.
  • That includes a decision loss to Anderson Silva, a common opponent that Paul managed to beat decisively on the judges' scorecards.

It feels like another one of the 28-year-old American's handpicked opponents, and it certainly is, but Chavez deserves some credit for his ability.

The Mexican has only been finished twice in his 62-bout tenure. One of those losses was by TKO because of a cut caused by an accidental clash of heads, something that wasn't reviewable.

And it's not like Paul flashes otherworldly knockout power. He failed to finish a 58-year-old Mike Tyson and looked rather cautious with the legend's fading skills.

Chavez is, by all means, a better opponent than Tyson at this point. But he should be the slower, less powerful of the two boxers on Saturday, and that carries a lot of weight in this sport.

Speaking of weight, Paul actually cut some for this contest. He made the 200-pound limit despite some reported concerns.

The cruiserweight class is a comfortable spot for Chavez in the later stages of his career. Although still the bigger man, Paul won't have as much of a size advantage as he's used to.

Paul vs. Chavez best bet made at 11:15 a.m. ET on 06/28/2025.

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