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Desperate to get into the win column, the defending champion Toronto Argonauts are on the road in Week 4 to face the Ottawa Redblacks.
The latest: The Toronto/Ottawa matchup caps a four-game slate ahead of Canada Day. Due to some porous defence on both sides, that game has the highest projected total of the week (52.5 points).
Check out the latest CFL Week 4 predictions for the games beginning Thursday, June 26.
CFL Week 4 predictions
Best bet: Argonauts/Redblacks over 52.5 points (-110)
There's so much focus on when Chad Kelly will return as QB1 for Toronto. But maybe Argos fans should be asking when (or if) the defence is going to show up.
- Toronto has allowed 28+ points in all three of its games.
- The Argos have the third-worst scoring defence in the CFL (32.0 PPG).
- In the ground game, Toronto is allowing the second-most rushing yards (131.3/game).
Ottawa has quarterback injury questions of its own, as Dru Brown's status is unknown after he missed the past two games. But if Brown isn't back, at least the Redblacks know that Toronto's run defence has been a sieve.
And the Redblacks have plenty of work to do on defence, too.
Ottawa allowed 30-plus points in its first two games and ranks third-last in total defence (390.3 yards/game).
Last week, the Redblacks beat the Stampeders, 20-12, but that game was played in a torrential downpour.
If Kelly and/or Brown are back under centre, I'll feel even better about this play. But with two dreadful defences on the field, I still expect ample scoring regardless.
Key stat: Overs are 8-0 in the past eight matchups between the Argonauts and Redblacks. Each of those games featured at least 59 points.
CFL Week 4 best bets
Alouettes -3 (-110): The Alouettes are the Grey Cup favourites, and deservedly so after a dominant 3-0 start. Each of their wins has come by a double-digit margin.
The Tiger-Cats, meanwhile, are 0-2 SU and ATS. Sure, they're at home and coming off a bye, but Montreal covered as a road favourite in back-to-back weeks.
Last year, the Als went 2-0 vs. the Ti-Cats and outscored them by 27 points. Since September 2022, Montreal is 8-0 against Hamilton (7-1 ATS).
Montreal quarterback Davis Alexander didn't practice on Monday or Tuesday, which helps explain this line a bit. But he still has a chance to play, and the Als' defence is their greatest strength anyway.
Blue Bombers -10 (-110): Winnipeg has been a dominant squad in recent CFL seasons. You don't have to remind Edmonton of that fact.
Since the 2022 season, the Blue Bombers are 8-0 vs. the Elks with an average victory margin of +16.9 points.
It's very early in the CFL season, but Edmonton and Winnipeg already have a common opponent. And the results make this matchup look even more lopsided.
The Elks lost to the BC Lions in Week 1, 31-14. Winnipeg has gone on to beat BC by multiple scores in back-to-back weeks.
CFL Week 4 predictions as of 3:14 p.m. on 06/25/2025.
