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Canada and Guatemala meet with a spot in the Gold Cup semifinal up for grabs.
The pregame narrative: The Canadians won two and drew one, which was enough to top Group B. That set up a favourable quarterfinal match against Guatemala, which is the lowest-ranked side remaining at the tournament.
Check out my Canada vs. Guatemala SGP predictions for June 29, featuring Jonathan David.
Canada vs. Guatemala predictions
Parlay: Canada to win | Guatemala under 0.5 goals | Jonathan David to score (+320)
Canada to win (-295): Les Rouges are sitting at No. 30 in the FIFA rankings and could continue to rise with a deep run at the Gold Cup.
And their next opponent, Guatemala, certainly doesn't match Canada in talent, ranking 106th in the world (76 spots below the Canadians).
The side did well in the group stage, winning two games and claiming the second spot behind Panama.
But it was gifted the easiest group, avoiding USA, Mexico and Canada. Wins against Jamaica and Guadeloupe certainly don't make Guatemala a contender.
Canada had a letdown performance against Curacao in its second match, but other than that, Jesse Marsch's squad has been in outstanding form.
Les Rouges have a 6-0 win over Honduras, the side that finished second in the group, and a 2-0 win over El Salvador.
The offence has gone through dry spells, but the defence has met the standard every step of the way.
Go to full Canada vs. Guatemala betting markets
Other SGP legs
Guatemala under 0.5 goals (-117): That brings me to the next leg of the parlay.
- Canada joins USA as the only two teams to concede one goal or less in the group stage.
- Guatemala recorded 3.8 xG in three games in the group stage against worse opponents.
Les Rouges are on a fantastic run defensively. They have three clean sheets in their past four games, dating back to a 0-0 draw with Ivory Coast earlier in June.
At the Gold Cup, Canada's goalies have only needed to make three saves on four total shots on goal. That's the fewest of any side at the tournament.
David to score (+115): In a big match, I expect Canada's best player to shine through.
David only has one goal to this point, but he is easily Canada's most decorated goalscorer.
- He has 35 goals in 66 international caps, including four in seven games to start 2025.
- The 25-year-old attacker had 23 goals in 36 starts across the French Ligue 1 and Champions League this season.
Because of that, he is rumoured to be making a move to Juventus once his contract for Lille comes to an end in a few days.
Additionally, David is the penalty taker for Canada, which could help cash this bet if the opportunity for a spot kick arises.
Canada vs. Guatemala predictions made at 9:34 a.m. on 06/28/2025.
