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After blanking the Boston Red Sox last night, the Toronto Blue Jays are in position for a series win on Saturday.
The pregame narrative: Chris Bassitt gets the ball for the Blue Jays, looking to make another deep start and continue a strong month of production. Toronto is 6-2 vs. Boston this season.
Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. the Red Sox for June 28, featuring Bassitt and Bo Bichette.
Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox
Best Bet: Bassitt over 17.5 outs (-130)
The Boston Red Sox sure could use a guy like Rafael Devers in their lineup.
Since trading away its top slugger on June 15, look at where Boston ranks among MLB's 30 teams in some key offensive categories:
- 30th in wRC+ (52)
- 30th in BA (.187)
- 29th in strikeout rate (28.9%)
- 29th in SLG (.316)
- 25th in walk rate (7.1%)
Jose Berrios carved up the Red Sox last night, tossing 7.0 scoreless innings while striking out eight. Now it's Bassitt's turn.
Bassitt has pitched into the fifth inning or deeper in all 16 of his starts. He's 8-8 vs. this prop but has come within two outs of cashing in five other games.
That includes an April 10 matchup against the Red Sox, in which Bassitt allowed just one run over 5.2 innings.
He'd only thrown 86 pitches when he was pulled, and he got the hook because there were runners on base in a scoreless game.
With an 89th-percentile walk rate, Bassitt is quite capable of working efficiently. He's facing a squad that's down in the dumps, which makes it a great time to back him to succeed.
Key stat: Bassitt has gone over 17.5 outs in all four starts this month, posting a 3.12 ERA in that span.
Quick pick
Bichette over 0.5 runs (-120): Despite collecting multiple hits last night, Bichette didn't score in Toronto's 9-0 win.
But as the leadoff man for the Jays, he should be in a great spot to score on Saturday.
Bichette is 7-for-17 with a home run, two doubles and a walk (1.150 SLG) against Boston starter Lucas Giolito.
And as a whole, the Blue Jays have a .515 SLG vs. the Red Sox starter in 97 at-bats. So as long as Bichette gets on, I like his chances of coming around.
Giolito has a .299 opponent xBA, which ranks in MLB's fourth percentile, per Baseball Savant. And his xERA (5.54) ranks in the sixth percentile.
Blue Jays picks made at 10:01 a.m. ET on 06/28/2025.
