Team USA and Sweden meet in the final round-robin match at the 4 Nations Face-Off.
The pregame narrative: The U.S. has already clinched its spot in the final, while Sweden needs some help from Canada and Finland to stay alive. Sweden is struggling to keep the puck out of its net, which is why I like Jake Guentzel and Brady Tkachuk to score.
Check out the latest USA vs. Sweden 4 Nations Face-Off props for Feb. 17.
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USA vs. Sweden props
Best Bet: Guentzel to score (+260)
It's a little surprising to see Guentzel's anytime goal line hovering around these odds for several reasons.
Firstly, he's been a consistent goal threat at this tournament. The Tampa Bay Lightning forward struck twice in Team USA's victory over Canada and notched another marker against Finland.
Bettors have to like his deployment in the lineup, too, as he's skating on the second line with Auston Matthews and Jack Hughes while also playing on the top power play. He logged over 20 minutes of ice time in Saturday night's win.
Lighting the lamp is nothing new for Guentzel. The two-time 40-goal scorer is eighth in goals this season with 27, putting him on pace for 41 this campaign.
The talented forward has emerged as one of USA's top offensive threats and should have another solid showing on Monday night.
Key stat: Guentzel has nine shots through two games at the 4 Nations Face-Off.
Quick pick
Tkachuk to score (+245): A lot of the same reasoning for backing Guentzel applies to Tkachuk.
He has a pair of goals at this tournament, notching both against the Finns in his team's first matchup of the tournament.
His spot in the lineup is worth highlighting, too, as he plays on the first line with his brother Matthew Tkachuk and centre Jack Eichel. He doesn't skate on the top power play, but that could potentially change if Matthew Tkachuk misses Monday's game with the lower-body injury he suffered on Saturday.
Tkachuk has eight shots through two games, too, making him a reliable source of shots.
The Swedes have allowed four goals in both of their games at this tournament.
4 Nations Face-Off picks made at 2:00 p.m. ET on 02/16/2025.