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The Los Angeles Angels and Washington Nationals settle their rubber match at Angel Stadium on Sunday.
The pregame narrative: Washington looks to end its nine-game West Coast road trip on a high note with southpaw Mitchell Parker (4.59 ERA) on the mound. The Angels have struggled mightily against lefties, and their starter, Jack Kochanowicz (5.49 ERA), has gotten roughed up this season.
Check out my Nationals vs. Angels predictions, with a +380 parlay, featuring Parker and James Wood.
Nationals vs. Angels predictions
Parlay: Nationals moneyline | Wood over 1.5 bases | Parker over 3.5 strikeouts (+380)
Nationals moneyline (+112): Neither team is projected to make the playoffs, and neither team is starting an ace. With that said, I feel pretty good about backing the Nats at plus-money against Kochanowicz.
- Kochanowicz owns a 6.65 ERA across five starts this month, allowing 35 baserunners in just 21.2 IP (1.62 WHIP).
- On the season, he ranks in the 20th percentile or lower in xERA (4.98), xBA (.274), walk rate (10.6), K rate (16.5) and hard-hit rate (47.1).
Washington's lineup isn't exactly a murderer's row, but it still has the fourth-lowest K rate (19.6%) against RHP this year. And there are several big bats, like Wood and CJ Abrams, who excel against righties.
I also expect Parker to fare better than usual.
The Angels have the ninth-worst wRC+ (79) and third-worst batting average (.216) against LHP this season.
MLB SGP legs
Wood over 1.5 bases (+100): Let's get back to Wood, a player who was just robbed of making his first all-star team.
The second-year outfielder is batting .281 and ranks sixth in home runs (26), fifth in RBI (64) and seventh in OPS (.931).
It's a shame he won't be recognized for a dynamite first half of the season, but I don't expect that to slow him down. If anything, we could be in for a little spite run.
Wood mashes righties to the tune of a .574 SLG, and Kochanowicz has gotten crushed by left-hitting batters this year (.303/.381/.537 slash line).
Look for the young gun to make a splash in this series finale.
Parker over 3.5 strikeouts (-190): Finally, I'll turn to Parker on a teased-down K total.
The lefties' 7th percentile K rate (15.9%) isn't the prettiest thing to look at. But his matchup against the Angels could be categorized as a movable force vs. a very stoppable object.
Los Angeles has the highest K rate in baseball against LHP (28.5%), and both of the Nationals' starters this series, Mike Soroka and Jake Irvin, logged five Ks — both are righties.
Parker struck out eight Colorado Rockies two starts ago, which was the last time he faced a team which was very swing-and-miss prone.
Nationals vs. Angels predictions made at 10:53 a.m. ET on 06/28/2025.
