The Toronto Raptors and Miami Heat return from the all-star break for a Friday night matchup at Scotiabank Arena.
The pregame narrative: Miami entered the break with four straight losses and Toronto is mostly healthy, which has me looking to back the hosts on an alternate spread. Prop bets on Immanuel Quickley and Tyler Herro round out this +285 wager.
Check out my Heat vs. Raptors same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 21.
Heat vs. Raptors predictions
Parlay: Raptors +5.5 | Quickley 6+ assists | Herro 3+ threes (+285)
Raptors +5.5 (-162): It's been a rarity for Toronto to field a fully-healthy lineup this season and that won't change on Friday with Jakob Poeltl sidelined.
Still, a starting five of Quickley, Gradey Dick, RJ Barrett, Scottie Barnes and Jonathan Mogbo is competitive.
The Heat have a Jimmy Butler-sized hole in their starting lineup that Andrew Wiggins can't fill.
They're 0-4 since trading Butler away and have lost six of their last eight. In that span, they've only picked up wins against the Joel Embiid-less Philadelphia 76ers and Victor Wembanyama-less San Antonio Spurs.
Toronto is an impressive 16-8-1 ATS as a home underdog this year and I like its chances of winning this game outright.
SGP legs
Quickley 6+ assists (-112): Quickley should be in full facilitation mode this evening.
The Heat allow the fourth-fewest points and fifth-most assists to point guards, according to Fantasy Pros. Barnes and Barrett are both capable scorers and I expect IQ to dish them the rock.
He hasn't played a ton this season but is averaging 5.3 assists this month, clearing this mark in two of six games while landing on five assists twice.
In a plus matchup, he should have an above-average outing.
Herro 3+ threes (-286): Adding Herro to hit three 3s is a nice leg for any Heat SGP. The sharpshooting guard's best scoring year has been buoyed by an elite perimeter game.
- Herro is averaging 3.7 threes on 9.7 attempts per night (both career-highs).
- He's hit 3+ threes in 37/51 starts (72.5%).
Herro has hit four-plus 3s in all three games against the Raptors this season while shooting a combined 48.2% from beyond the arc.
Picks made at 1:30 p.m. ET 02/21/2025
