In Friday's NBA nightcap, the Sacramento Kings host the Golden State Warriors in a Bay Area battle.
The pregame narrative: After a pair of head-to-head wins for Sacramento last month, I expect Golden State to exact some revenge tonight. This is a star-studded SGP, featuring Steph Curry, Jimmy Butler and Domantas Sabonis.
Check out my Warriors vs. Kings same-game parlay predictions for Feb. 21.
Warriors vs. Kings predictions
Parlay: Warriors ML | Butler 30+ PRA | Sabonis 35+ PRA | Curry 4+ threes (+410)
Warriors moneyline (-125): Golden State and Sacramento have identical 28-27 records right now. But the vibes aren't the same, and neither are the teams' directions.
The Warriors added Jimmy Butler at the trade deadline, and then Draymond Green called his shot during all-star weekend and said they're going to win the championship.
The Kings traded away De'Aaron Fox at the deadline and now have -455 odds to miss the playoffs.
Sacramento is 2-0 against Golden State this year, and both games took place just last month. But a lot has changed since then.
In their past 10 games, respectively, the Warriors' net rating (+2.3) far exceeds the Kings' net rating (-5.3).
SGP legs
Butler 30+ points/rebounds/assists (-225): We're seeing a motivated Butler right now, and that's a dangerous thing for whichever team is on the opposing side.
After multiple suspensions and plenty of trade-related awkwardness with the Miami Heat, Butler has found a home with the Warriors. That marriage is still in the honeymoon phase, but so far it's working out:
- 4 games
- 21.3 PPG
- 7.0 RPG
- 5.3 APG
- 30+ PRA in 4/4
Butler's shooting efficiency has actually been rough since he joined Golden State, but that's been offset by his ability to get to the free throw line.
If he needs to lean on that crutch again, the Kings profile as a solid team to exploit. They allow the 11th-most free throw attempts per game (22.7).
Butler already has 40 FTA so far as a Warrior.
Sabonis 35+ points/rebounds/assists (-245): Sabonis' high floor as a scorer and nuclear capability as a rebounder means this milestone is always within reach.
Over his past 20 games, Sabonis has averaged 42.7 PRA and cashed this bet 17 times.
That includes a pair of matchups against the Warriors, who he's now hit this milestone against in four consecutive games.
Sabonis is poised for a third consecutive rebounding title, and he matched a season-best with 28 boards last time out.
He's also Sacramento's leading passer (6.2 APG) and averages north of 20 points per night.
Curry 4+ threes (-295): Am I loving this amount of juice on Curry to can four 3s? No, but based on his 3-point volume heading into the all-star break I'm willing to get on board.
Look at what Curry did from beyond the arc in his final seven games before the break:
- 5.3 3PM
- 15.4 3PA
- 12+ attempted 3s in 7/7 games
- 4+ made 3s in 6/7 games
Curry's 3-point efficiency in that stretch (34.3%) isn't amazing, but it doesn't have to be. If he's putting up a dozen 3s, I'll take this bet any day.
The Kings allow the second-highest 3PT% in the league (37.7).
Picks made at 11:18 a.m. ET on 02/21/2025.
