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Canelo Alvarez vs. Terence Crawford odds and best bet: Back Canelo to win on points

Check out the odds and best bet for Canelo vs. Crawford on Sept. 13. Photo by John Locher/AP.
Check out the odds and best bet for Canelo vs. Crawford on Sept. 13. Photo by John Locher/AP.

One of the biggest boxing bouts of the year takes place this Saturday when Terence Crawford challenges Canelo Alvarez.

The pre-fight narrative: Canelo is undoubtedly one of the greatest of all time, and he can add to his legacy this weekend by beating the undefeated Crawford. Easier said than done, though, as 41 boxers have tried and failed.

Check out my Canelo vs. Crawford best bet for the Sept. 13 fight in Las Vegas, Nevada.

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Canelo vs. Crawford best bet

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Betting marketsOdds
Canelo to win-152
Draw+1,600
Crawford to win+132
Over 10.5 rounds-375
Under 10.5 rounds+255

Boxing odds as of 3:12 p.m. on 09/10/2025.

Odds for the Canelo/Crawford fight

Best bet: Canelo to win by decision (+133)

Crawford has never been beaten before, but he's also never fought Canelo, and there are a few distinct advantages on the side of the favourite.

  • This bout will be contested at 168 pounds, a weight more natural for Canelo. Crawford's last two weigh-in results have been 153.4 pounds and 146.8 pounds. That could nullify his power advantage.
  • In a bout that is -305 to go the distance, Canelo should be the better-conditioned fighter. He's won six straight 12-round fights by unanimous decision.

Since 2013, Canelo's only loss has come to Dimitry Bivol at light heavyweight.

But since Crawford is clearly a top boxer in the world, I fully expect this fight to go the distance. At 35, Canelo doesn't have the finishing power he once held, but he is still the best technical boxer in the world.

And it's hard to see Crawford outpointing the champion over 12 rounds.

Key stat: This will be Crawford's first career bout at 168 pounds, while Canelo is experienced at super middleweight with an 11-0 record (seven decisions).

Canelo vs. Crawford best bet made at 3:13 p.m. ET on 09/10/2025.

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