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Commanders vs. Packers TNF Week 2 SGP predictions: Target Josh Jacobs and Zach Ertz at +340

Check out this +340 SGP for Thursday Night Football. Photo by Morry Gash/AP.
Check out this +340 SGP for Thursday Night Football. Photo by Morry Gash/AP.

Fans are treated to another electric Thursday Night Football game when the Washington Commanders visit the Green Bay Packers.

The pregame narrative: Green Bay looks like an elite defensive team with Micah Parsons, and it will be challenged again when it plays reigning Rookie of the Year Jayden Daniels. The Commanders and Packers both logged blowout wins over divisional rivals in Week 1.

Check out my Commanders vs. Packers same-game parlay predictions for Week 2 below, featuring Zach Ertz and Josh Jacobs.

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Commanders vs. Packers SGP predictions

SGP: Packers ML | Ertz over 33.5 receiving yards | Jacobs over 80.5 rushing yards (+340)

Packers ML (-186): With the addition of Parsons, Green Bay looks like a true Super Bowl contender.

Look at what the defence did in Week 1 to the Detroit Lions, who led the NFL in points per game last season:

  • 13 points against
  • Held Detroit to 5/15 on third down
  • 4 sacks

Jared Goff felt the pressure all night long, and I think that'll be the story for all opposing quarterbacks.

The Lions had just two losses last season and looked a tier below the revamped Packers.

Washington's offence looked good but not great against the Giants, and I'm afraid anything less than great won't be enough to hang with Green Bay.

Thursday Night Football SGP picks

Ertz over 33.5 receiving yards (-108): The one player to have success against the Packers' defence was Lions tight end Sam LaPorta, who finished with six receptions for a team-high 79 yards.

Overall, 23 of Goff's 39 pass attempts were thrown to either LaPorta or a running back.

To me, that demonstrates how little time Goff had in the pocket to make a throw. Receivers won't have much time to develop routes out wide.

That brings me to Ertz, who wasn't used as much in Week 1 but still finished with three receptions for 26 yards and a touchdown.

The tight end had a 64% snap share, which was the third highest among pass catchers behind Terry McLaurin and Deebo Samuel.

Expect Ertz to be targeted by Daniels early and often.

Jacobs over 80.5 rushing yards (-108): Jacobs fell short of this mark in Week 1. But, he showed he was still the bell cow for the Packers.

He played 42 of Green Bay's 48 offensive snaps and recorded 19 carries.

I could see that number increasing, considering the Lions managed to run 65 plays to the Packers' 47.

In a game where Green Bay's offence should be on the field more, Jacobs would be in line for more work.

And it's not like he couldn't reach this total with 19 carries. Last season, he averaged 78.2 rushing yards per game on 17.7 attempts.

As long as he gets his 3.5 yards per carry up, this is an opportunity for Jacobs to have a smash week.

Commanders vs. Packers predictions made at 11:35 a.m. on 09/10/2025.

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