For the second consecutive day, Los Angeles Dodgers star Mookie Betts headlines Tuesday's top MLB prop picks.
Today's MLB props narrative: Betts is hot and has a juicy matchup against Colorado Rockies righty German Marquez, who also finds himself in today's recommendations.
Check out my favourite MLB prop bets for Sept. 9, featuring predictions on Daulton Varsho and Spencer Strider.
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MLB prop bets
Best bet: Betts over 1.5 total bases (-105)
Los Angeles was quiet last night (three runs, four hits) against righty Chase Dollander and the Rockies’ bullpen, but that’s no reason to shy away from Tuesday's matchup.
- Marquez has a 6.19 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in 22 starts.
- He’s predictably been awful at home (6.45 ERA, .321 opponents’ batting average), but has been nearly as bad on the road (5.95, .315).
- Marquez has been crushed by both lefty (.532 slugging) and righty hitters (.521).
Colorado’s bullpen has by far the worst ERA (6.02) in the majors, and it's been even worse in the second half.
As for Betts, he’s enjoying his best stretch of the season.
The eight-time all-star is batting .328 and slugging .504 over his last 30 games.
He's seen Marquez a good amount, batting .308 in 29 career plate appearances.
Key stat: Betts has topped this line 18 times over his 30-game heater.
Best MLB picks
Varsho 1+ RBI (+170): The Toronto Blue Jays see Houston Astros righty Luis Garcia, who threw well in his season debut and is making his second start of the year.
I’m going to keep the focus here on Varsho, who's hitting the ball with authority and punishing right-handers.
- Varsho has an incredible 18 homers in 150 at-bats vs. righties, slugging a robust .693.
- Batting primarily out of the No. 5 spot for MLB’s No. 2 team in second-half wRC+, Varsho has 47 RBI in 54 games.
Varsho has started September on a tear, hitting three homers with a 1.210 OPS.
Looking for more Astros vs. Blue Jays recommendations? See Jordan Horrobin’s best Blue Jays picks.
Best MLB pitching props
Marquez under 3.5 strikeouts (-117): There’s big blowup potential against the Dodgers, who returned Max Muncy last night and are supposed to have Will Smith back in the lineup today.
Add that pair to Betts, Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman and Teoscar Hernandez, and this lineup is a nightmare for even the best of pitchers.
Marquez is averaging under five innings per start and has one of the lowest strikeout rates among starters.
Only six of 116 pitchers who have thrown 100-plus innings have a lower K% than Marquez.
The Rockies veteran has gone under this light line in 14 of 22 starts.
Strider under 17.5 outs (-130): The Atlanta Braves' power arm hasn't been right in his comeback season from Tommy John.
Strider has shown flashes but has been far too inconsistent, and his fastball velocity has diminished considerably. So has his K rate (24.2% compared to 36%+ in 2022/23).
His first start out of the all-star break was a gem, continuing a strong finish to the first half. But it's been downhill since then.
- Strider has a 7.75 ERA (7.09 FIP) over his last seven starts.
- He has allowed 10 homers over those outings, striking out just 24 in 33.2 innings.
While the lack of Ks can theoretically allow him to work deeper by keeping his pitch count down, it simply hasn't mattered. He's 1-6 vs. this line since July 23.
Strider has been hit harder than ever before and is coming off a five-inning start vs. the same Chicago Cubs he'll see tonight.
His line last time out: 5.0 IP, 5 H, 3 R, 3 BB, 1 K.
MLB prop picks made at 12:05 p.m. ET on 09/09/2025.
