The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Houston Texans meet in the first of two Monday Night Football games.
The pregame narrative: C.J. Stroud and the Texans make their home debut while looking for their first win of the season. On the other side, Tampa Bay aims to improve to 2-0 in the early goings.
Check out my Buccaneers vs. Texans same-game parlay predictions for Week 2 below, featuring Stroud and Mike Evans.
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Buccaneers vs. Texans SGP predictions
SGP: Texans ML | Stroud 225+ passing yards | Evans 60+ receiving yards (+300)
Texans ML (-148): Since Stroud arrived in Houston, the Texans have fared much better at home when he starts.
- Home: 11-5
- Away: 8-9
That unsurprisingly has a lot to do with the quarterback's performance, but more on that later.
Houston dealt with a load of injuries last season, but looks healthy this season, and this is the week I predict we see the offence at full force.
This season, it's the Bucs with the lengthier injury report as 11 players missed practice at some point this week.
Mix in the travel, and there are some real advantages on the side of the Texans on Monday.
Monday Night Football SGP picks
Stroud 225+ passing yards (-127): Continuing with the narrative, Stroud has far better career stats at home.
- Home: 27 touchdowns, 10 interceptions, 281.4 yards per game, 99.0 passer rating.
- Away: 16 touchdowns, nine interceptions, 207.1 yards per game, 86.9 passer rating.
This is his third NFL season, so it's been long enough that this is a noteworthy trend.
Tampa Bay allowed Michael Penix Jr. to throw for 298 yards last week, and he doesn't have the arm talent Stroud does.
This should be a performance to remind everyone how dangerous Houston can be.
Stroud went 6-2 against this line at home last season.
Evans 60+ receiving yards (-157): I still think the Bucs can do some damage in this game, and Evans is my top target.
The wide receiver has been a model of consistency. He has 105-plus targets and 1,000-plus yards in each of his 11 NFL seasons.
He fell short of this line in Week 1 with 51 yards, but his underlying stats were encouraging. Evans led Tampa Bay with eight targets and five receptions.
Baker Mayfield only completed 17 passes, though. Last year, he completed 17 or fewer passes just once, so more yards should be expected for the Buccaneers' receivers.
Buccaneers vs. Texans predictions made at 2:24 p.m. on 09/14/2025.
