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Eagles vs. Chiefs Week 2 SGP predictions: Bet on Kansas City, Hollywood Brown in Super Bowl rematch

Brown had a league-high 16 targets last week. Photo by Doug Benc/AP.
Brown had a league-high 16 targets last week. Photo by Doug Benc/AP.

A Super Bowl rematch between the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs headlines Sunday's NFL slate.

The pregame narrative: It's gut-check time for the Chiefs. Philadelphia squashed Kansas City's hope of a three-peat last season and is favoured to win at Arrowhead Stadium. This is only the second time in the Patrick Mahomes era that the Chiefs are home underdogs, and they'll need a win to avoid starting 0-2.

Check out my Eagles vs. Chiefs +300 same-game parlay predictions for Week 2, featuring Hollywood Brown and DeVonta Smith.

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Eagles vs. Chiefs SGP predictions

SGP: Chiefs +5.5 | Brown 60+ receiving yards | Smith 50+ receiving yards (+300)

Chiefs +5.5 (-215): I think the Chiefs are live to win this game.

Kansas City was embarrassed in the Super Bowl last year, finding itself down 34-0 with time left in the third quarter. It was, without a doubt, the worst loss of Mahomes' career.

And after a Week 1 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers, it seems many are writing the Chiefs off this season.

That seems a little premature to me.

The Chiefs are 12-2-1 ATS as an underdog with Mahomes and 22-5 straight up following a loss.

Kansas City also went a perfect 10-0 at home last season, beating teams like the Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals.

More SGP picks

Brown 60+ receiving yards (-114): Brown should have an outsized role in KC's offence until Rashee Rice returns from his suspension.

That's especially true if Xavier Worthy (shoulder) doesn't suit up on Sunday.

Brown was a force in the Chiefs' season-opening loss, hauling in 10 of his league-high 16 targets for 99 yards.

Is he going to see that type of volume again? Probably not, but even half of that would put him in a solid position to reach this milestone.

The speedster boasts 4.27 speed and was moved all over the field against L.A., logging half of his snaps in the slot and half on the outside.

Smith 50+ receiving yards (-165): The Eagles' receiving room was a non-factor against the Cowboys last week, catching seven combined passes for 83 yards.

Hurts' primary receiving target in that matchup was tight end Dallas Goedert (seven catches, 44 yards), but the veteran has missed back-to-back practices with a knee sprain.

Even if Goedert plays, it's unlikely he'll be at 100%. And Philly will want to get its receivers involved to offset KC's stout rush defence.

The Eagles ran the ball 38 times against the Cowboys, who had no answers. Kansas City, meanwhile, held L.A.'s rushing attack to 90 yards at 3.6 yards per carry.

Smith averaged 60.2 receiving yards across 17 regular-season and playoff games last year, reaching this milestone 11 times.

That includes a 69-yard outing against KC in the Super Bowl.

Eagles vs. Chiefs predictions made at 11:45 a.m. ET on 09/12/2025.

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