BET FINDER: Search & Bet!
Jazz Chisholm highlights the top prop picks for MLB's lighter Thursday slate.
Today's MLB props narrative: Chisholm has been raking and will enjoy a platoon advantage, giving me confidence he'll stay hot for the reeling New York Yankees, who are looking to avoid a four-game sweep to the Toronto Blue Jays.
Check out my top MLB prop bets for July 3, featuring predictions on Joe Adell and Jake Irvin.
MLB prop bets
Best bet: Chisholm over 1.5 total bases (+160)
The Yankees' third baseman no doubt benefits from hitting at his home park (1.025 OPS at home, .578 on the road), but he’s been hammering the ball and slugs right-handed pitching.
At this gargantuan price, he’s a worthwhile play for me.
- Vs. RHPs: 13 of 14 HR, .563 SLG, .909 OPS
- Since June 1: 7 HR, .305/.380/.579
Chisholm has nine multi-hit contests over that 26-game stretch. He entered June (after missing all of May) with a .181 average and .714 OPS. Chisolm is up to .240 and .829, respectively.
The Yankees see righty Chris Bassitt, who was clobbered in his last start and surrendered a pair of bombs and four runs when he faced New York earlier this season.
Left-handed hitters are slugging nearly 100 points higher vs. Bassitt and are hitting him for a .287 average.
And it’s fair to wonder whether Toronto’s bullpen will be at its sharpest after the club used four high-leverage relievers each for an inning-plus last night after deploying five relief arms in both of the first two games of the series.
Key stat: Chisholm is 9-6 against this line over his last 15 games.
Best MLB picks
Irvin over 4.5 Ks (+117): Irvin's K rate has tumbled this season, but the Washington Nationals righty has cleared this line in three straight outings.
He gets the Detroit Tigers, while a difficult matchup for any pitcher, who strike out at the fifth-highest K rate in MLB vs. right-handers.
Irvin will be at home, where he's pitched significantly better this season (3.59 ERA vs. 5.79) — and he generally gives the Nationals innings.
The 28-year-old had a stretch earlier in the season where he worked into the sixth inning in nine straight outings. He's 5-3 against this line over his last eight after starting the year on a 3-6 run.
Adell over 0.5 RBI (+180): It appears Adell, a 2017 first-round pick, is figuring things out.
The former top prospect struggled over parts of five seasons entering the year but heads into tonight two homers off the personal-best 20 he hit last year and has career-high marks in slugging (.494) and OPS (.811).
Adell has moved up to a run-producing spot in the Los Angeles Angels’ order, hitting behind a group of bats who can provide damage. And Adell is as hot as he’s been all season:
- OPS by month: April (.514), May (.836), June (1.038).
- .340/.421/.680 over a 13-game hit streak.
- Five homers & 12 RBI over that stretch.
The Angels get Atlanta Braves righty Bryce Elder, who had an 8.25 ERA over five June starts.
Elder allowed a season-high 10 runs and three homers in his last outing and is coming off a brutal 2024. The softer-throwing righty is not a big swing-and-miss arm and is susceptible to blow-ups.
MLB prop picks made at 12:05 p.m. ET on 07/03/2025.
