CFL Week 5 predictions, picks and best bets: Back Hamilton to win, BC to keeps things close vs. Montreal

Check out these picks for Week 5 of the CFL season. Photo by Ethan Cairns/CP.
Check out these picks for Week 5 of the CFL season. Photo by Ethan Cairns/CP.
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The CFL season rolls into Week 5 with some compelling matchups on the schedule.

The latest: It looks like good news for the BC Lions, who could be getting Nathan Rourke back ahead of a clash with the East Division-leading Montreal Alouettes. Before that, the Toronto Argonauts look to start a turnaround against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats.

Check out the latest CFL Week 5 predictions for the games beginning Thursday, July 3.

CFL Week 5 predictions

Best bet: Tiger-Cats moneyline (-107)

Things are getting ugly for the Argos, who will now be without Chad Kelly until at least Week 7.

Behind backup quarterback Nick Arbuckle, Toronto is 1-3 (0-2 at home) with a -22 point differential.

The 31-year-old QB is tied for the CFL lead with six interceptions. The offence's inability to protect the ball has put the defence in tough positions regularly.

Toronto has allowed 112 points through four games.

Hamilton is 1-2 but is coming off an 18-point win over the Alouettes. The Ti-Cats own a +1 point differential despite their losing record.

Bo Levi-Mitchell is easily the better QB here. He's completed 67.8% of his passes for 887 yards, four touchdowns and one interception.

The Tiger-Cats have played three teams with winning records so far, and now they get a soft landing spot to take advantage of against the struggling Argos.

Key stat: Hamilton won all three games vs. the Argonauts last season.

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CFL Week 5 best bets

Lions +4.5 (-110): The Alouettes look like they won't have Davis Alexander at QB again, and that spells trouble.

Without the 26-year-old last week, Montreal lost for the first time this season, 35-17, against the Ti-Cats.

Backup QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson completed 24 of 41 passes for 202 yards and one TD (two INTs).

It's clear that the Alouettes aren't the same without Alexander. So far this week, Bethel-Thompson has been taking practice snaps as the starter while Alexander practiced in limited fashion with the second unit.

For BC, Nathan Rourke was back at practice preparing with the starters ahead of Saturday's contest.

His availability is just as important as Alexander's, and it could give the Lions a huge edge.

  • Backup Jeremiah Masoli has thrown two TDs and six INTs this season in relief for Rourke.
  • In Rourke's two starts, he has been much better with four touchdowns with only one turnover.

The Canadian completed one full game for his team this season. He led the Lions to 31 points over the Edmonton Elks in Week 1.

CFL Week 5 predictions as of 11:45 a.m. on 07/02/2025.

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