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Two big-name starting pitchers highlight the best prop picks for Wednesday's loaded MLB slate.
Today's MLB props narrative: There are 19 games today! That provides us with all-day betting action and Houston Astros righty Hunter Brown tops the list as my No. 1 target. Brown has been dominating and gets one of his juiciest matchups yet: a date with the lowly Colorado Rockies.
Check out my top MLB prop bets for June 27, featuring predictions on Clayton Kershaw — who gets his own tasty opponent — and Toronto Blue Jays sophomore Addison Barger.
MLB prop bets
Best bet: Brown over 6.5 Ks (-134)
This isn’t a huge line to clear but it’s big enough to warrant consideration. And the venue, Coors Field, adds its own level of risk.
But there are too many positives to ignore, making this a smash play as far as I’m concerned.
Brown has been one of the best pitchers in MLB by several metrics.
He leads all starters in ERA (1.84) and is third in strikeout rate (32.1 K%). Brown's also top 10 in FIP, and is allowing homers and walks at below-average rates.
The 26-year-old has surrendered two earned runs or fewer in 14 of his 16 starts, handling opponents far more potent than this.
- Colorado has the highest K rate vs. RHPs and is last in wRC+.
- The Rockies are an MLB-worst 19-66 and are scoring the fourth-fewest runs per game.
Brown enters this salivating matchup having punched out nine-plus batters in three of his last four outings.
Key stat: Brown is 11-5 vs. a 6.5 strikeout line this season.
Best MLB picks
Kershaw over 4.5 Ks (-121): The Los Angeles Dodgers veteran has generally been strong since making his season debut in mid-May, and he’s been particularly excellent over his last three outings.
- June 26 @ COL: 6 IP, 2, 1 R, 1 BB, 5 K
- June 20 vs. WSH: 5 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 2 BB, 4 K
- June 14 vs. SF: 7 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 5 K
Kershaw had a season-high seven strikeouts before that three-start stretch, meaning he has cleared this line in three of his last four outings.
The 37-year-old will see the Chicago White Sox, who have the second-highest K rate in MLB vs. southpaws.
Chicago has been punched out more than all but two teams over the last 30 days, sporting the second-worst wRC+ over that time.
Barger over 0.5 runs (+123): Barger has slowed a bit but he’s still been productive and has lately been the No. 2 hitter in what’s been a potent lineup for the sizzling Jays.
That puts him directly in front of Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Alejandro Kirk and George Springer, a trio of batters hitting the ball exceptionally well.
New York Yankees starter Will Warren has been dynamite against right-handers, but left-handers have handled him much better, giving Barger (.828 OPS vs. RHPs, .639 vs. LHPs) an excellent platoon advantage.
Since May 29, only 13 players have scored more runs than the 25-year-old Barger.
- 24 runs in 27 games
- .265/.321/.551 slash line
- 7 HR, 142 wRC+
I like the bats behind Barger, but he’s more than capable of cashing this on his own. All 16 of his career home runs have come against righties.
MLB prop picks made at 11:01 a.m. ET on 07/02/2025.
