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The Toronto Blue Jays can tie the New York Yankees atop the AL East with a win on Wednesday.
The pregame narrative: A red-hot Jose Berrios starts for Toronto opposite Will Warren for the Yankees. The Jays won the first two games and can guarantee a series win with another victory tonight.
Check out my Yankees vs. Blue Jays predictions for July 2, including Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Addison Barger.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays predictions
SGP: Over 7.5 runs | Guerrero over 1.5 total bases | Barger 1+ hits (+300)
Over 7.5 runs (-195): There have been a combined 26 runs through two games in this series, and I don't expect the offence to slow down.
Both clubs set a high standard with the bats, scoring at least four-plus runs apiece in both contests.
It wouldn't be crazy for one team to cover this teased-down total alone. Toronto did just that yesterday, winning 12-5, led by an offensive outburst from George Springer.
Warren will take the mound for New York on Wednesday, and his 4.37 ERA is decent but nothing to write home about.
For the Jays, Berrios has been excellent (1.66 ERA over last six starts), but his head-to-head stats against the Yankees raise concerns.
In 144 career at-bats, New York's active lineup is batting .285 off Berrios. That includes Aaron Judge, who is 14-for-37 (.378) with five home runs.
MLB SGP legs
Guerrero over 1.5 total bases (+123): After Guerrero's 0-for-5 showing on Tuesday, I'm ready to jump right back on the Vladdy train.
Take a look at his stats over the past 22 games.
- .293 AVG
- .524 SLG
- 43 total bases
- 14-8 against this wager
His average is only slightly elevated from his season average, but he's starting to hit for some serious power. Four of his 12 home runs came in that span.
Warren throws either a four-seam fastball or a sinker 58.7% of the time. Guerrero has a .339 average against those pitches this season.
Barger over 0.5 hits (-210): When he's in the lineup, Barger has been very consistent at cashing this over.
He got the day off yesterday, but he should be right back in the heart of the order with how he's swinging the bat.
Here's how he's performed across the last 30 games:
- .275 AVG
- .550 SLG
And more importantly, he had a hit in 22 of those contests.
Barger hits better against right-handed pitching, too. The utility man has a .265 average vs. RHPs and a .235 average vs. LHPs.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays predictions made at 10:06 a.m. ET on 07/02/2025.
