The New York Yankees can earn a seismic three-game sweep of the Boston Red Sox on Sunday Night Baseball.
The pregame narrative: The Red Sox's pennant hopes are reeling. Boston needs a win under the lights of Sunday Night Baseball to keep pace in the AL East. Garrett Crochet comes to the rescue in a game where I expect both starting pitchers to shine.
Check out my Red Sox vs. Yankees picks, featuring a prop bet on Will Warren.
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Yankees vs. Red Sox picks
Best Bet: Warren over 4.5 strikeouts (-130)
Boston is my preferred side in this game, but there's unignorable value on this prop.
Warren is topping this line more often than not. He's totalled five-plus strikeouts in 18 of his 30 appearances (60%), which is a higher rate than the implied odds of this prop (56.2%).
The matchup also makes this a great opportunity to back this wager.
The Red Sox are a swing-happy club. They're averaging the seventh-most strikeouts per game this season (8.81), and are averaging nine strikeouts per outing across their last three.
Warren has battled the Red Sox twice this year, totalling nine strikeouts. With a lot of swing-and-miss in Boston's bats recently, I'll take the over on Warren in this market.
Key stat: Warren has a 66th-percentile strikeout percentage this season (24.7), according to Baseball Savant.
Best MLB pick
Red Sox -1.5 (+140): Crochet getting the start really makes a difference for Boston.
The Red Sox are 20-9 in Crochet's appearances this year, and they're covering this spread at an impressive clip.
Boston has won by two-plus runs in 16 of Crochet's 29 outings this season (55.2%). That's a much higher percentage than the implied odds of this bet (41.2%).
He's been excellent against the Yankees specifically. Crochet has a 2.95 ERA and 27 strikeouts in three starts against New York. The Red Sox covered this spread in two of those games.
Yankees under 3.5 runs (-124): New York's offence has been effective in two games against Boston (nine runs), but it isn't lighting the world on fire lately.
In fact, the Yankees have gone under on this prop in four of their last eight games.
The Crochet factor also looms large. He's done very well against New York's hitters, earning a 36.7% strikeout percentage while keeping its hitters to a .224 batting average in 90 plate appearances.
The Yankees have only mustered two runs in their last two games versus Crochet.
Yankees vs. Red Sox picks made at 10:54 a.m. ET on 09/14/2025.
