Two division rivals start the season with an electric Week 1 matchup.
The pregame narrative: The Detroit Lions won the NFC North for a second straight time in 2024, recording a franchise record 15 wins in the process. Despite that, it's the Green Bay Packers that are favoured to win this Week 1 clash.
Check out my Lions vs. Packers +310 same-game parlay predictions for Week 1, featuring prop bets on Josh Jacobs and Jahmyr Gibbs.
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Lions vs. Packers SGP predictions
SGP: Over 41.5 points | Jacobs anytime TD | Gibbs over 92.5 rushing/receiving yards (+310)
Over 41.5 points (-220): I don't think it should take much to sell the over on a teased-down total between two high-powered offences.
- If we go back to last season, Detroit led the NFL in scoring (33.1 PPG). For reference, the Buffalo Bills ranked second, scoring 30.6.
- The Lions will have a new offensive coordinator in John Morton, but he should be familiar with the offence after helping build it as a senior offensive assistant in 2022.
- Green Bay had the eighth-best offence (26.1 PPG) and added wide receiver Matthew Golden in the first round.
There is just too much firepower in this game for me to even consider taking an under.
In four games against each other since the start of the 2023 season, this over is 3-1 with an average of 52.0 points per game.
Friday night SGP picks
Jacobs anytime TD (-167): Jacobs overcame a slow start to become one of the NFL's premium TD scorers last season.
- First seven games: Two TDs.
- Final 10 games: 14 TDs, 9-1 on this wager.
In Week 14, he had a three-touchdown performance against the Lions on 18 rushing attempts.
Green Bay loves to turn to Jacobs near the end zone. I can't see that changing in his second year with the Packers.
Jacobs led the NFL in rush attempts (40) and TDs (14) inside the opponent's 10-yard line last season.
Gibbs over 92.5 rushing/receiving yards (-113): This may seem like an outrageous line, but it actually falls shy of Gibbs' 2024 averages.
- The 23-year-old went off as a sophomore, recording 1,929 yards from scrimmage.
- In 17 games, that's an average of 113.5 per game, over 20 more than what is needed for this leg to cash on Sunday.
He added 68 carries in his second pro season and should be expected to take on an even larger role in year three.
Gibbs finished last year on an even higher note, running for 100+ yards in each of his final three games of the regular season.
In those contests, the dynamic tailback averaged 162.3 rushing/receiving yards.
Lions vs. Packers predictions made at 2:57 p.m. on 09/05/2025.
