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One Canadian is in action on Thursday at Wimbledon.
The pregame narrative: Rising star Victoria Mboko continues her run in London against Hailey Baptiste in the second round. On the men's side, Jack Draper looks to fight off a seasoned veteran, Marin Cilic, who's on his best playing surface.
Check out my top Wimbledon predictions for July 3, including a pick on Grigor Dimitrov vs. Corentin Moutet.
Wimbledon predictions: July 3
Best Bet: Mboko -1.5 games (-118)
Mboko, 18, was inserted into this tournament just hours before it began as a lucky loser after Anastasia Potapova withdrew.
She took full advantage and disposed of world No. 24 Magdalena Frech in straight sets (6-3, 6-2).
- Mboko is proving to be a fast learner, and she's getting better on grass as each match passes. She has a 3-1 record on the surface this year and covered this spread in two of those wins.
- Her opponent on Thursday, Hailey Baptiste, is 2-2 on grass in 2025 and comes into this match in poor form, losing three of her last five matches overall.
Baptiste has failed to make it past the second round in 12 of the 16 events she's played in this season.
Key stat: Additionally, Mboko should be hard to break. She has held 79.2% of her service games this year with a 45-7 overall record.
Wimbledon best bet: Draper vs. Cilic
Draper/Cilic over 35.5 games (-114): This seems like a blowout for Draper on paper but Cilic has some juice left in the tank.
- Cilic, the 36-year-old Croatian, has accumulated a 7-1 record on grass in 2025.
- Cilic has always been a specialist on the surface with a 95-35 career record. That's far and away his best win rate on any court type.
Although a lot of his matches were played in the Challenger Series, Cilic's results can't be ignored. He notched five of his seven wins in straight sets.
Draper is 4-1 on grass this season, coming off a run to the semifinal at Queen's Club. He did need all three sets to win two of those matches, though.
In a five-set match at Wimbledon, Cilic would need to win at least one set or keep all three sets close enough for this over to cash. I'm confident he has that in his locker.
Best bet: Dimitrov vs. Moutet
Moutet to win (+190): There is a lot of value backing the Frenchman to win this matchup.
- Moutet is shaping into a phenomenal grass player, holding a 9-3 record on the surface this season.
- His three losses came against Alexander Zverev (No. 3), Jacob Fearnley (No. 51) and Tallon Griekspoor (No. 29)
- Mixed in are wins against Taylor Fritz (No. 5), Daniel Altmaier (No. 57) and Alex Michelsen (No. 32).
He's played a lot of tough competition, putting together a really good record in the run-up to Wimbledon.
Moutet's second-round opponent, Grigor Dimitrov, lost three straight matches ahead of this Grand Slam tournament. In June, Dimitrov decided to rest rather than play any matches on grass.
That lack of preparation has me worried for his chances against a red-hot Moutet.
Plus, the 26-year-old Moutet is eight years younger than his competitor, with strong results in their past meetings.
Moutet is 2-0 against Dimitrov in his career. One of the wins was at Wimbledon back in 2019 when the underdog was only 20 years old.
Wimbledon predictions made at 12:45 p.m. on 07/02/2025.
