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Cowboys vs. Eagles TNF Week 1 SGP predictions: Bet on Jalen Hurts and George Pickens in 2025 NFL opener

Jalen Hurts had 19 carries inside the five-yard line during the 2024 regular season. Photos by AP.
Jalen Hurts had 19 carries inside the five-yard line during the 2024 regular season. Photos by AP.

A fresh NFL season is here, as the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles kick things off on Thursday Night Football to open Week 1.

The pregame narrative: Philadelphia, the defending Super Bowl champion, has high hopes of running it back, while Dallas is looking to forget about last year's 7-10 result. Jalen Hurts and the Eagles begin their title defence as 8.5-point home favourites in prime time.

Check out my Cowboys vs. Eagles same-game parlay predictions for Week 1 below, featuring George Pickens.

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Cowboys vs. Eagles SGP predictions

SGP: Hurts anytime TD | Pickens 50+ rec. yards | Over 45.5 points (+300)

Pickens 50+ receiving yards (-143): A new chapter in Pickens' career begins Thursday, one that should come with an upgrade in quarterback play.

After putting up with the likes of Kenny Pickett, Mitch Trubisky, Mason Rudolph and late-stage Russell Wilson, it's time to see what a Dak-Prescott-to-Pickens connection looks like.

Prescott had an injury-riddled 2024 season, but he was the MVP runner-up in 2023 and has thrown for 4,400-plus yards three times in his career.

Pickens cashed this bet in 11 of 15 games last season, averaging 65.8 yards/game.

Though the 24-year-old will be the secondary option behind CeeDee Lamb, the underdog Cowboys should have to throw enough for both players to see ample targets.

Thursday Night Football SGP picks

Hurts anytime TD (-162): What would Hurts' touchdown price be if the Tush Push had been banned this offseason?

I guess we'll never know.

  • No one executes the short-yardage plunge quite like Hurts, who "ran" for 19 TDs in 19 games last year. A lot of those were him simply falling forward, but no one said it had to look pretty.
  • Hurts had 19 carries inside the five-yard line in 15 regular-season games last year, per Fantasy Pros. That was the fourth-most among all players.
  • In his lone game against the Cowboys in 2024, Hurts turned seven carries into 56 yards and two scores.

Over 45.5 points (-141): The Dallas Cowboys had the second-worst scoring defence last year, allowing 27.5 points per game. Trading away Micah Parsons isn't going to make that group better.

I don't expect Dallas to get steamrolled without putting up some points of its own, though.

  • As my colleague Avery Perri pointed out in his TNF picks piece, Prescott didn't play in either game against Philly last year. Having him under centre will make a big difference.
  • In 2022-23, the Prescott-led Cowboys averaged 30.0 PPG in three matchups vs. the Eagles. This over went 3-0 in those games.

Philadelphia has an overload of star power on offence, so I'm not concerned about the defending champs tearing Dallas' defence to shreds. But the important thing is that Prescott and the Cowboys have enough weapons to strike back.

Overs went 11-6 in Dallas games last season.

Cowboys vs. Eagles predictions made at 11:35 a.m. on 09/03/2025.

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